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LLY vs UNH: Dividend Comparison

LLY$1,045.09
ELI LILLY & Co
Health Care
vs
UNH$291.12
Unitedhealth Group Inc
Health Care

Dividend data as of

ELI LILLY & Co (LLY) and Unitedhealth Group Inc (UNH) are both in the Health Care sector, making them natural rivals for dividend investors. UNH offers a significantly higher 3.20% yield compared to LLY's 0.59%, a gap of 2.61%. For dividend growth, LLY leads with a 5-year CAGR of 23.8% versus UNH's 11.7%. Both stocks carry a "Safe" dividend safety rating. Both are classified as Dividend Contenders.

Verdict

Best for Income
UNH
Higher yield at 3.20%
Best for Growth
LLY
5yr CAGR of 23.8%
Best for Safety
LLY
Lower payout ratio (26%)
Metric
Price
$1,045.09
$291.12
Dividend Yield
0.59%
3.20%
Annual Dividend
$6.00
$8.73
5yr Div CAGR
23.8%
11.7%
3yr Div CAGR
15.2%
9.4%
Consecutive Years
11
16
Payout Ratio
26.14%
44.92%
P/E Ratio
Market Cap
Income on $10k
$59/yr
$320/yr

Yield Analysis

LLY
0.59%
UNH
3.20%

UNH yields 2.61% more than LLY. In dollar terms, LLY pays $6.00/share vs UNH's $8.73/share annually.

Dividend Growth

LLY 5yr CAGR
23.8%
decelerating
UNH 5yr CAGR
11.7%
decelerating

LLY: Dividend growth is slowing — the 3-year CAGR of 15.2% trails the 5-year rate of 23.8% and the 10-year rate of 16.4%.

UNH: Dividend growth is slowing — the 3-year CAGR of 9.4% trails the 5-year rate of 11.7% and the 10-year rate of 15.6%.

Dividend Safety

LLY
Safe
Payout Ratio26%
UNH
Safe
Payout Ratio45%

LLY: The payout ratio of 26% is well within sustainable levels, leaving room for future increases. Earnings cover the dividend 3.8x.

UNH: The payout ratio of 45% is well within sustainable levels, leaving room for future increases. Earnings cover the dividend 2.2x.

Estimated Annual Dividend Income

Based on current dividend yields. Actual income may vary.

Investment
LLY
UNH
$10,000
$59/yr
$320/yr
$50,000
$293/yr
$1,598/yr
$100,000
$585/yr
$3,195/yr

What does $10,000 buy in LLY vs UNH today?

At $1045.09 per share, $10,000 buys about 9.6 shares of ELI LILLY & Co (LLY). Each share pays $6.00 per year in dividends, so the position starts out generating roughly $57 per year — about $5 a month.

At $291.12 per share, $10,000 buys about 34.4 shares of Unitedhealth Group Inc (UNH). Each share pays $8.73 per year in dividends, so the position starts out generating roughly $300 per year — about $25 a month.

UNH is the larger income stream from day one: $242 per year more on the same $10,000 invested.

What could $10,000 of LLY or UNH income look like in 10 years?

ELI LILLY & Co (LLY) has raised its dividend about 23.8% a year over the past five years. If that pace held, the $59 per year that $10,000 generates today at the current 0.59% yield would reach $497 per year by 2036 — a 5.0% yield on the original cost.

Unitedhealth Group Inc (UNH) has raised its dividend about 11.7% a year over the past five years. If that pace held, the $320 per year that $10,000 generates today at the current 3.20% yield would reach $970 per year by 2036 — a 9.7% yield on the original cost.

On those trailing rates, UNH pays more in 2036: $970 versus $497 per year. The projection assumes each five-year growth rate persists and no dividends are reinvested — real payouts will differ.

When would LLY's dividend growth overtake UNH's higher yield?

ELI LILLY & Co (LLY) yields less today (0.59% vs 3.20%) but has grown its dividend faster — 23.8% vs 11.7% a year over the past five years. If both trends continued, a $10,000 position in LLY would start out-earning the same position in UNH around 2043 (roughly 17 years from now), paying about $2,222 per year at the crossover. Before that point, UNH pays more each year; after it, the gap compounds in LLY's favor.

Can LLY and UNH afford their dividends?

ELI LILLY & Co (LLY) earns $22.98 per share against $6.00 paid out in dividends — 3.8x coverage (a 26% payout ratio).

Unitedhealth Group Inc (UNH) earns $19.19 per share against $8.73 paid out in dividends — 2.2x coverage (a 45% payout ratio).

LLY's wider coverage leaves more cushion if earnings dip. As a rule of thumb, coverage below about 1.5x (a payout ratio above ~65%) is where a dividend starts to look stretched — worth watching for UNH if earnings weaken.

Which fits an early-retirement income portfolio better, LLY or UNH?

For income you need right now, Unitedhealth Group Inc (UNH) leads: $100,000 invested today pays about $266 a month at the current 3.20% yield, versus $49 a month from ELI LILLY & Co (LLY) at 0.59%.

With a decade or more before the income is needed, LLY's faster dividend growth (23.8% vs 11.7% a year) matters more than the starting yield — raises compound into the larger paycheck over time.

On consistency: LLY has raised its dividend 11 consecutive years; UNH has raised its dividend 16 consecutive years.

Many income investors simply hold both — the mix pairs current yield with growth and spreads single-name risk. Whichever way you lean, dividends are never guaranteed; recheck the payout each quarter rather than setting and forgetting.

$10,000 with DRIP: projected annual income

If each holding keeps raising its dividend at its real 5-year rate and every payment is reinvested, a $10,000 position pays $527/yr in LLY vs $1,328/yr in UNH by year 10.

Assumes dividends are reinvested at the current yield and grow at each holding's trailing 5-year dividend CAGR. A projection, not a prediction — no price appreciation modeled.

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