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AEP vs XEL: Dividend Comparison

AEP$129.48
American Electric Power Co Inc
Utilities
vs
XEL$81.32
Xcel Energy Inc
Utilities

Dividend data as of

American Electric Power Co Inc (AEP) and Xcel Energy Inc (XEL) are both in the Utilities sector, making them natural rivals for dividend investors. Both stocks offer similar yields — AEP at 3.07% and XEL at 2.94%. For dividend growth, AEP leads with a 5-year CAGR of 13.4% versus XEL's 11.5%. AEP holds the edge in dividend safety with a "Safe" rating. AEP is a Dividend Contender with 16 years of consecutive increases.

Verdict

Best for Income
AEP
Higher yield at 3.07%
Best for Growth
AEP
5yr CAGR of 13.4%
Best for Safety
AEP
Rated "Safe"
Metric
Price
$129.48
$81.32
Dividend Yield
3.07%
2.94%
Annual Dividend
$3.72
$2.28
5yr Div CAGR
13.4%
11.5%
3yr Div CAGR
21.3%
16.6%
Consecutive Years
16
1
Payout Ratio
54.47%
66.67%
P/E Ratio
Market Cap
Income on $10k
$307/yr
$294/yr

Yield Analysis

AEP
3.07%
XEL
2.94%

AEP yields 0.13% more than XEL. In dollar terms, AEP pays $3.72/share vs XEL's $2.28/share annually.

Dividend Growth

AEP 5yr CAGR
13.4%
accelerating
XEL 5yr CAGR
11.5%
accelerating

AEP: Dividend growth is accelerating — the 3-year CAGR of 21.3% exceeds the 5-year rate of 13.4% and the 10-year rate of 9.1%.

XEL: Dividend growth is accelerating — the 3-year CAGR of 16.6% exceeds the 5-year rate of 11.5% and the 10-year rate of 8.5%.

Dividend Safety

AEP
Safe
Payout Ratio54%
XEL
Moderate
Payout Ratio67%

AEP: The payout ratio of 54% is well within sustainable levels, leaving room for future increases. Earnings cover the dividend 1.8x.

XEL: The payout ratio of 67% is moderate. The dividend is currently covered by earnings but leaves less room for growth. Earnings cover the dividend 1.5x.

Estimated Annual Dividend Income

Based on current dividend yields. Actual income may vary.

Investment
AEP
XEL
$10,000
$307/yr
$294/yr
$50,000
$1,534/yr
$1,471/yr
$100,000
$3,068/yr
$2,942/yr

What does $10,000 buy in AEP vs XEL today?

At $129.48 per share, $10,000 buys about 77.2 shares of American Electric Power Co Inc (AEP). Each share pays $3.72 per year in dividends, so the position starts out generating roughly $287 per year — about $24 a month.

At $81.32 per share, $10,000 buys about 123.0 shares of Xcel Energy Inc (XEL). Each share pays $2.28 per year in dividends, so the position starts out generating roughly $280 per year — about $23 a month.

On day one the two positions generate nearly identical income; the difference comes from what happens to each dividend afterward.

What could $10,000 of AEP or XEL income look like in 10 years?

American Electric Power Co Inc (AEP) has raised its dividend about 13.4% a year over the past five years. If that pace held, the $307 per year that $10,000 generates today at the current 3.07% yield would reach $1,081 per year by 2036 — a 10.8% yield on the original cost.

Xcel Energy Inc (XEL) has raised its dividend about 11.5% a year over the past five years. If that pace held, the $294 per year that $10,000 generates today at the current 2.94% yield would reach $871 per year by 2036 — a 8.7% yield on the original cost.

On those trailing rates, AEP pays more in 2036: $1,081 versus $871 per year. The projection assumes each five-year growth rate persists and no dividends are reinvested — real payouts will differ.

When would XEL's dividend growth overtake AEP's higher yield?

It doesn't, on the trailing numbers. American Electric Power Co Inc (AEP) yields more today (3.07% vs 2.94%) and has also grown its dividend at least as fast (13.4% vs 11.5% a year over five years). Unless XEL accelerates its raises or AEP stumbles, XEL never closes the income gap — AEP wins on both current income and growth.

Can AEP and XEL afford their dividends?

American Electric Power Co Inc (AEP) earns $6.83 per share against $3.72 paid out in dividends — 1.8x coverage (a 54% payout ratio).

Xcel Energy Inc (XEL) earns $3.42 per share against $2.28 paid out in dividends — 1.5x coverage (a 67% payout ratio).

AEP's wider coverage leaves more cushion if earnings dip. As a rule of thumb, coverage below about 1.5x (a payout ratio above ~65%) is where a dividend starts to look stretched — worth watching for XEL if earnings weaken.

Which fits an early-retirement income portfolio better, AEP or XEL?

For income you need right now, American Electric Power Co Inc (AEP) leads: $100,000 invested today pays about $256 a month at the current 3.07% yield, versus $245 a month from Xcel Energy Inc (XEL) at 2.94%.

AEP also leads on dividend growth (13.4% vs 11.5% a year over five years), so the trailing numbers favor it on both fronts.

On consistency: AEP has raised its dividend 16 consecutive years; XEL has raised its dividend 1 consecutive year.

Many income investors simply hold both — the mix pairs current yield with growth and spreads single-name risk. Whichever way you lean, dividends are never guaranteed; recheck the payout each quarter rather than setting and forgetting.

$10,000 with DRIP: projected annual income

If each holding keeps raising its dividend at its real 5-year rate and every payment is reinvested, a $10,000 position pays $1,462/yr in AEP vs $1,163/yr in XEL by year 10.

Assumes dividends are reinvested at the current yield and grow at each holding's trailing 5-year dividend CAGR. A projection, not a prediction — no price appreciation modeled.

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