GWW vs SWK: Dividend Comparison
Dividend data as of
W.W. Grainger, Inc. (GWW) and Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. (SWK) are both in the Industrials sector, making them natural rivals for dividend investors. SWK offers a significantly higher 3.60% yield compared to GWW's 0.74%, a gap of 2.85%. For dividend growth, GWW leads with a 5-year CAGR of 16.1% versus SWK's 2.6%. Both stocks carry a "Safe" dividend safety rating. SWK is a Dividend Aristocrat with 28 years of consecutive increases.
Verdict
Yield Analysis
SWK yields 2.85% more than GWW. In dollar terms, GWW pays $8.83/share vs SWK's $3.30/share annually.
Dividend Growth
GWW: Dividend growth is accelerating — the 3-year CAGR of 25.8% exceeds the 5-year rate of 16.1% and the 10-year rate of 10.3%.
SWK: Dividend growth is slowing — the 3-year CAGR of 1.2% trails the 5-year rate of 2.6% and the 10-year rate of 4.3%.
Dividend Safety
GWW: The payout ratio of 25% is well within sustainable levels, leaving room for future increases. Earnings cover the dividend 4.0x.
SWK: The payout ratio of 1% is well within sustainable levels, leaving room for future increases. Earnings cover the dividend 0.8x.
Estimated Annual Dividend Income
Based on current dividend yields. Actual income may vary.
What does $10,000 buy in GWW vs SWK today?
At $1139.68 per share, $10,000 buys about 8.8 shares of W.W. Grainger, Inc. (GWW). Each share pays $8.83 per year in dividends, so the position starts out generating roughly $77 per year — about $6 a month.
At $91.08 per share, $10,000 buys about 109.8 shares of Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. (SWK). Each share pays $3.30 per year in dividends, so the position starts out generating roughly $362 per year — about $30 a month.
SWK is the larger income stream from day one: $285 per year more on the same $10,000 invested.
What could $10,000 of GWW or SWK income look like in 10 years?
W.W. Grainger, Inc. (GWW) has raised its dividend about 16.1% a year over the past five years. If that pace held, the $74 per year that $10,000 generates today at the current 0.74% yield would reach $331 per year by 2036 — a 3.3% yield on the original cost.
Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. (SWK) has raised its dividend about 2.6% a year over the past five years. If that pace held, the $360 per year that $10,000 generates today at the current 3.60% yield would reach $464 per year by 2036 — a 4.6% yield on the original cost.
On those trailing rates, SWK pays more in 2036: $464 versus $331 per year. The projection assumes each five-year growth rate persists and no dividends are reinvested — real payouts will differ.
When would GWW's dividend growth overtake SWK's higher yield?
W.W. Grainger, Inc. (GWW) yields less today (0.74% vs 3.60%) but has grown its dividend faster — 16.1% vs 2.6% a year over the past five years. If both trends continued, a $10,000 position in GWW would start out-earning the same position in SWK around 2039 (roughly 13 years from now), paying about $518 per year at the crossover. Before that point, SWK pays more each year; after it, the gap compounds in GWW's favor.
Can GWW and SWK afford their dividends?
W.W. Grainger, Inc. (GWW) earns $35.35 per share against $8.83 paid out in dividends — 4.0x coverage (a 25% payout ratio).
Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. (SWK) earns $2.65 per share against $3.30 paid out in dividends — 0.8x coverage (a 1% payout ratio).
GWW's wider coverage leaves more cushion if earnings dip. As a rule of thumb, coverage below about 1.5x (a payout ratio above ~65%) is where a dividend starts to look stretched — worth watching for SWK if earnings weaken.
Which fits an early-retirement income portfolio better, GWW or SWK?
For income you need right now, Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. (SWK) leads: $100,000 invested today pays about $300 a month at the current 3.60% yield, versus $62 a month from W.W. Grainger, Inc. (GWW) at 0.74%.
With a decade or more before the income is needed, GWW's faster dividend growth (16.1% vs 2.6% a year) matters more than the starting yield — raises compound into the larger paycheck over time.
On consistency: SWK has raised its dividend 28 consecutive years.
Many income investors simply hold both — the mix pairs current yield with growth and spreads single-name risk. Whichever way you lean, dividends are never guaranteed; recheck the payout each quarter rather than setting and forgetting.
$10,000 with DRIP: projected annual income
If each holding keeps raising its dividend at its real 5-year rate and every payment is reinvested, a $10,000 position pays $356/yr in GWW vs $661/yr in SWK by year 10.
Assumes dividends are reinvested at the current yield and grow at each holding's trailing 5-year dividend CAGR. A projection, not a prediction — no price appreciation modeled.
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