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GPC vs JNJ: Dividend Comparison

GPC$147.18
Genuine Parts Co
Consumer Discretionary
vs
JNJ$243.53
Johnson & Johnson
Health Care

Dividend data as of

Genuine Parts Co (GPC) from Consumer Discretionary and Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) from Health Care offer different dividend profiles for income-focused portfolios. GPC edges ahead on yield at 2.79% versus JNJ's 2.16%. Both stocks show similar dividend growth rates, each around 6.0% over the past five years. JNJ holds the edge in dividend safety with a "Safe" rating. GPC is a Dividend Aristocrat while JNJ is a Dividend King.

Verdict

Best for Income
GPC
Higher yield at 2.79%
Best for Growth
GPC
5yr CAGR of 6.0%
Best for Safety
JNJ
Rated "Safe"
Metric
Price
$147.18
$243.53
Dividend Yield
2.79%
2.16%
Annual Dividend
$4.09
$5.14
5yr Div CAGR
6.0%
5.2%
3yr Div CAGR
4.1%
4.6%
Consecutive Years
39
63
Payout Ratio
70.40%
46.60%
P/E Ratio
Market Cap
Income on $10k
$279/yr
$216/yr

Yield Analysis

GPC
2.79%
JNJ
2.16%

GPC yields 0.63% more than JNJ. In dollar terms, GPC pays $4.09/share vs JNJ's $5.14/share annually.

Dividend Growth

GPC 5yr CAGR
6.0%
decelerating
JNJ 5yr CAGR
5.2%
decelerating

GPC: Dividend growth is slowing — the 3-year CAGR of 4.1% trails the 5-year rate of 6.0% and the 10-year rate of 5.1%.

JNJ: Dividend growth is slowing — the 3-year CAGR of 4.6% trails the 5-year rate of 5.2% and the 10-year rate of 5.6%.

Dividend Safety

GPC
Moderate
Payout Ratio70%
JNJ
Safe
Payout Ratio47%

GPC: The payout ratio of 70% is moderate. The dividend is currently covered by earnings but leaves less room for growth. Earnings cover the dividend 1.4x.

JNJ: The payout ratio of 47% is well within sustainable levels, leaving room for future increases. Earnings cover the dividend 2.1x.

Estimated Annual Dividend Income

Based on current dividend yields. Actual income may vary.

Investment
GPC
JNJ
$10,000
$279/yr
$216/yr
$50,000
$1,394/yr
$1,078/yr
$100,000
$2,788/yr
$2,156/yr

What does $10,000 buy in GPC vs JNJ today?

At $147.18 per share, $10,000 buys about 67.9 shares of Genuine Parts Co (GPC). Each share pays $4.09 per year in dividends, so the position starts out generating roughly $278 per year — about $23 a month.

At $243.53 per share, $10,000 buys about 41.1 shares of Johnson & Johnson (JNJ). Each share pays $5.14 per year in dividends, so the position starts out generating roughly $211 per year — about $18 a month.

GPC is the larger income stream from day one: $67 per year more on the same $10,000 invested.

What could $10,000 of GPC or JNJ income look like in 10 years?

Genuine Parts Co (GPC) has raised its dividend about 6.0% a year over the past five years. If that pace held, the $279 per year that $10,000 generates today at the current 2.79% yield would reach $501 per year by 2036 — a 5.0% yield on the original cost.

Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) has raised its dividend about 5.2% a year over the past five years. If that pace held, the $216 per year that $10,000 generates today at the current 2.16% yield would reach $359 per year by 2036 — a 3.6% yield on the original cost.

On those trailing rates, GPC pays more in 2036: $501 versus $359 per year. The projection assumes each five-year growth rate persists and no dividends are reinvested — real payouts will differ.

When would JNJ's dividend growth overtake GPC's higher yield?

It doesn't, on the trailing numbers. Genuine Parts Co (GPC) yields more today (2.79% vs 2.16%) and has also grown its dividend at least as fast (6.0% vs 5.2% a year over five years). Unless JNJ accelerates its raises or GPC stumbles, JNJ never closes the income gap — GPC wins on both current income and growth.

Can GPC and JNJ afford their dividends?

Genuine Parts Co (GPC) earns $5.81 per share against $4.09 paid out in dividends — 1.4x coverage (a 70% payout ratio).

Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) earns $11.03 per share against $5.14 paid out in dividends — 2.1x coverage (a 47% payout ratio).

JNJ's wider coverage leaves more cushion if earnings dip. As a rule of thumb, coverage below about 1.5x (a payout ratio above ~65%) is where a dividend starts to look stretched — worth watching for GPC if earnings weaken.

Which fits an early-retirement income portfolio better, GPC or JNJ?

For income you need right now, Genuine Parts Co (GPC) leads: $100,000 invested today pays about $232 a month at the current 2.79% yield, versus $180 a month from Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) at 2.16%.

GPC also leads on dividend growth (6.0% vs 5.2% a year over five years), so the trailing numbers favor it on both fronts.

On consistency: GPC has raised its dividend 39 consecutive years; JNJ has raised its dividend 63 consecutive years.

Many income investors simply hold both — the mix pairs current yield with growth and spreads single-name risk. Whichever way you lean, dividends are never guaranteed; recheck the payout each quarter rather than setting and forgetting.

$10,000 with DRIP: projected annual income

If each holding keeps raising its dividend at its real 5-year rate and every payment is reinvested, a $10,000 position pays $659/yr in GPC vs $445/yr in JNJ by year 10.

Assumes dividends are reinvested at the current yield and grow at each holding's trailing 5-year dividend CAGR. A projection, not a prediction — no price appreciation modeled.

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