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COP vs OKE: Dividend Comparison

COP$111.65
Conocophillips
Energy
vs
OKE$86.11
Oneok Inc /New/
Energy

Dividend data as of

Conocophillips (COP) and Oneok Inc /New/ (OKE) are both in the Energy sector, making them natural rivals for dividend investors. OKE offers a significantly higher 4.94% yield compared to COP's 2.96%, a gap of 1.98%. Both stocks show similar dividend growth rates, each around 11.1% over the past five years. COP holds the edge in dividend safety with a "Safe" rating.

Verdict

Best for Income
OKE
Higher yield at 4.94%
Best for Growth
COP
5yr CAGR of 11.1%
Best for Safety
COP
Rated "Safe"
Metric
Price
$111.65
$86.11
Dividend Yield
2.96%
4.94%
Annual Dividend
$3.18
$4.12
5yr Div CAGR
11.1%
10.1%
3yr Div CAGR
-9.8%
19.9%
Consecutive Years
1
0
Payout Ratio
50.08%
75.00%
P/E Ratio
Market Cap
Income on $10k
$296/yr
$494/yr

Yield Analysis

COP
2.96%
OKE
4.94%

OKE yields 1.98% more than COP. In dollar terms, COP pays $3.18/share vs OKE's $4.12/share annually.

Dividend Growth

COP 5yr CAGR
11.1%
decelerating
OKE 5yr CAGR
10.1%
accelerating

COP: Dividend growth is slowing — the 3-year CAGR of -9.8% trails the 5-year rate of 11.1% and the 10-year rate of 17.4%.

OKE: Dividend growth is accelerating — the 3-year CAGR of 19.9% exceeds the 5-year rate of 10.1% and the 10-year rate of 9.3%.

Dividend Safety

COP
Safe
Payout Ratio50%
OKE
Moderate
Payout Ratio75%

COP: The payout ratio of 50% is well within sustainable levels, leaving room for future increases. Earnings cover the dividend 2.0x.

OKE: The payout ratio of 75% is moderate. The dividend is currently covered by earnings but leaves less room for growth. Earnings cover the dividend 1.3x.

Estimated Annual Dividend Income

Based on current dividend yields. Actual income may vary.

Investment
COP
OKE
$10,000
$296/yr
$494/yr
$50,000
$1,479/yr
$2,468/yr
$100,000
$2,958/yr
$4,937/yr

What does $10,000 buy in COP vs OKE today?

At $111.65 per share, $10,000 buys about 89.6 shares of Conocophillips (COP). Each share pays $3.18 per year in dividends, so the position starts out generating roughly $285 per year — about $24 a month.

At $86.11 per share, $10,000 buys about 116.1 shares of Oneok Inc /New/ (OKE). Each share pays $4.12 per year in dividends, so the position starts out generating roughly $478 per year — about $40 a month.

OKE is the larger income stream from day one: $194 per year more on the same $10,000 invested.

What could $10,000 of COP or OKE income look like in 10 years?

Conocophillips (COP) has raised its dividend about 11.1% a year over the past five years. If that pace held, the $296 per year that $10,000 generates today at the current 2.96% yield would reach $844 per year by 2036 — a 8.4% yield on the original cost.

Oneok Inc /New/ (OKE) has raised its dividend about 10.1% a year over the past five years. If that pace held, the $494 per year that $10,000 generates today at the current 4.94% yield would reach $1,291 per year by 2036 — a 12.9% yield on the original cost.

On those trailing rates, OKE pays more in 2036: $1,291 versus $844 per year. The projection assumes each five-year growth rate persists and no dividends are reinvested — real payouts will differ.

When would COP's dividend growth overtake OKE's higher yield?

Not within a realistic holding period. Conocophillips (COP) is growing its dividend faster (11.1% vs 10.1% a year), but the starting-yield gap — 4.94% for OKE vs 2.96% for COP — is wide enough that the crossover sits more than 30 years out on trailing rates. For income you plan to spend, OKE's head start is decisive.

Can COP and OKE afford their dividends?

Conocophillips (COP) earns $6.35 per share against $3.18 paid out in dividends — 2.0x coverage (a 50% payout ratio).

Oneok Inc /New/ (OKE) earns $5.44 per share against $4.12 paid out in dividends — 1.3x coverage (a 75% payout ratio).

COP's wider coverage leaves more cushion if earnings dip. As a rule of thumb, coverage below about 1.5x (a payout ratio above ~65%) is where a dividend starts to look stretched — worth watching for OKE if earnings weaken.

Which fits an early-retirement income portfolio better, COP or OKE?

For income you need right now, Oneok Inc /New/ (OKE) leads: $100,000 invested today pays about $411 a month at the current 4.94% yield, versus $247 a month from Conocophillips (COP) at 2.96%.

With a decade or more before the income is needed, COP's faster dividend growth (11.1% vs 10.1% a year) matters more than the starting yield — raises compound into the larger paycheck over time.

On consistency: COP has raised its dividend 1 consecutive year.

Many income investors simply hold both — the mix pairs current yield with growth and spreads single-name risk. Whichever way you lean, dividends are never guaranteed; recheck the payout each quarter rather than setting and forgetting.

$10,000 with DRIP: projected annual income

If each holding keeps raising its dividend at its real 5-year rate and every payment is reinvested, a $10,000 position pays $1,130/yr in COP vs $2,090/yr in OKE by year 10.

Assumes dividends are reinvested at the current yield and grow at each holding's trailing 5-year dividend CAGR. A projection, not a prediction — no price appreciation modeled.

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