COP vs EOG: Dividend Comparison
Dividend data as of
Conocophillips (COP) and Eog Resources Inc (EOG) are both in the Energy sector, making them natural rivals for dividend investors. EOG edges ahead on yield at 3.50% versus COP's 2.96%. For dividend growth, COP leads with a 5-year CAGR of 11.1% versus EOG's -1.8%. Both stocks carry a "Safe" dividend safety rating.
Verdict
Yield Analysis
EOG yields 0.54% more than COP. In dollar terms, COP pays $3.18/share vs EOG's $3.94/share annually.
Dividend Growth
COP: Dividend growth is slowing — the 3-year CAGR of -9.8% trails the 5-year rate of 11.1% and the 10-year rate of 17.4%.
EOG: Dividend growth is slowing — the 3-year CAGR of -10.9% trails the 5-year rate of -1.8% and the 10-year rate of 25.7%.
Dividend Safety
COP: The payout ratio of 50% is well within sustainable levels, leaving room for future increases. Earnings cover the dividend 2.0x.
EOG: The payout ratio of 38% is well within sustainable levels, leaving room for future increases. Earnings cover the dividend 2.6x.
Estimated Annual Dividend Income
Based on current dividend yields. Actual income may vary.
What does $10,000 buy in COP vs EOG today?
At $111.65 per share, $10,000 buys about 89.6 shares of Conocophillips (COP). Each share pays $3.18 per year in dividends, so the position starts out generating roughly $285 per year — about $24 a month.
At $120.62 per share, $10,000 buys about 82.9 shares of Eog Resources Inc (EOG). Each share pays $3.94 per year in dividends, so the position starts out generating roughly $327 per year — about $27 a month.
EOG is the larger income stream from day one: $42 per year more on the same $10,000 invested.
What could $10,000 of COP or EOG income look like in 10 years?
Conocophillips (COP) has raised its dividend about 11.1% a year over the past five years. If that pace held, the $296 per year that $10,000 generates today at the current 2.96% yield would reach $844 per year by 2036 — a 8.4% yield on the original cost.
Eog Resources Inc (EOG)'s dividend has shrunk about 1.8% a year over the past five years. If that trend continued, today's $350 per year on $10,000 (at the current 3.50% yield) would fall to $292 per year by 2036.
On those trailing rates, COP pays more in 2036: $844 versus $292 per year. The projection assumes each five-year growth rate persists and no dividends are reinvested — real payouts will differ.
When would COP's dividend growth overtake EOG's higher yield?
Conocophillips (COP) yields less today (2.96% vs 3.50%) but has grown its dividend faster — 11.1% vs -1.8% a year over the past five years. If both trends continued, a $10,000 position in COP would start out-earning the same position in EOG around 2028 (roughly 2 years from now), paying about $365 per year at the crossover. Before that point, EOG pays more each year; after it, the gap compounds in COP's favor.
Can COP and EOG afford their dividends?
Conocophillips (COP) earns $6.35 per share against $3.18 paid out in dividends — 2.0x coverage (a 50% payout ratio).
Eog Resources Inc (EOG) earns $10.07 per share against $3.94 paid out in dividends — 2.6x coverage (a 38% payout ratio).
EOG's wider coverage leaves more cushion if earnings dip. As a rule of thumb, coverage below about 1.5x (a payout ratio above ~65%) is where a dividend starts to look stretched — worth watching for COP if earnings weaken.
Which fits an early-retirement income portfolio better, COP or EOG?
For income you need right now, Eog Resources Inc (EOG) leads: $100,000 invested today pays about $292 a month at the current 3.50% yield, versus $247 a month from Conocophillips (COP) at 2.96%.
With a decade or more before the income is needed, COP's faster dividend growth (11.1% vs -1.8% a year) matters more than the starting yield — raises compound into the larger paycheck over time.
On consistency: COP has raised its dividend 1 consecutive year.
Many income investors simply hold both — the mix pairs current yield with growth and spreads single-name risk. Whichever way you lean, dividends are never guaranteed; recheck the payout each quarter rather than setting and forgetting.
$10,000 with DRIP: projected annual income
If each holding keeps raising its dividend at its real 5-year rate and every payment is reinvested, a $10,000 position pays $1,130/yr in COP vs $413/yr in EOG by year 10.
Assumes dividends are reinvested at the current yield and grow at each holding's trailing 5-year dividend CAGR. A projection, not a prediction — no price appreciation modeled.
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